2024 Week Four: Look ahead
It's Week Four, and after Toyah & Neil left us last week we have 13 couples left. Which means we will start to see a bit more from the weekly VT's as there are less dances to fit in to the Saturday show.
Given the injury that Nick sustained last week it's touch and go as to whether we'll see him on Saturday night. They've been given permission to perform the Charleston we would have seen last week, in Movie week. Nick's injury was to one of his knees, and with the Charleston being a dance that uses the knees quite a lot it's going to be a hard dance for him, so we'll have to wait and see. Unfortunately being absent for this second week will most likely result in him being retired from the show.
Tasha and Aljaz made it three weeks in a row at the top of the leaderboard. Will they make it four?
Nick & Luba are hopeful of a return in week four and if they do they'll be dancing the Charleston!
If we do get a Charleston it'll be the first one in Week Four for four years.
More Charleston statsWeek Four also has a tendency to surprise. In 2022 Kym & Graziano scored 32 points for their Samba - putting them fifth from top, from 13 couples. They shocked everyone by finding themselves in the dance off. Week 4 in 2021 also had Graziano in the dance off, with Judi and their Waltz. And in 2023, Week 4 was the last time we saw Amanda and Giovanni on the dance floor, before she left the series.
Week 4 Fun fact: Week Four is roughly where our average scores hit the 30's. In recent years we've seen scores of 39 points, for Hamza and Jowita's Salsa from 2020, and 38 points for Fleur & Vito's Argentine Tango, also from 2020. The most recent lowest scores have been 18 points, for Greg and Karen's Samba from 2021 - a dance which saw them leave the series that year - and 19 points for Jody and Jowita for their 2023 Salsa - which also resulted in them leaving the series. Coming bottom in week four is not a good position, as in 2022 the bottom pairing of Matt & Nadiya also left the series.
As always we're looking for a ten paddle, but don't get your hopes up - there was just one 10 last year, from Motsi for Layton and Nikita. The best recent year for Week 4 was 2022, where we had an amazing seven (Try saying that and not doing it in a Len Goodman voice!) 10 paddles, with Hamza and Jowita getting 3 for their Salsa (guess who gave them a 9!).
Our Estimates
Every week we estimate the judges scores in our look ahead, here's how we reckon they'll score.
| Judge |  |
 |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our estimate | 6.60 | 7.20 | 7.10 | 7.30 |
| Pairing Name | Dance Type | |
|---|---|---|
 |
Chris & Dianne | Salsa |
 |
Punam & Gorka | Jive |
 |
Jamie & Michelle | Salsa |
 |
JB & Amy | Rumba |
 |
Montell & Johannes | Viennese Waltz |
 |
Paul & Karen | Quickstep |
 |
Pete & Jowita | Quickstep |
 |
Sam & Nikita | Samba |
 |
Sarah & Vito | Foxtrot |
|
Tasha & Aljaz | Rumba |
 |
Shayne & Nancy | Cha Cha |
 |
Wynne & Katya | Tango |
|
Nick & Luba | Charleston |
